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Ethiopia

Retail_Trading_Status

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Run ID
61e80489...
Created
2025-12-12 04:14
Started
2025-12-12 04:15
Completed
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Base Research
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Step Outputs

Input: 1925 tokens Output: 1946 tokens
{
  "analysis_text": "Ethiopia\u0027s regulatory environment for cryptocurrency is characterized by a stark dichotomy between retail prohibitions and industrial acceptance, placing it firmly in the \u0027Gray-Zone\u0027. The National Bank of Ethiopia (NBE) maintains a strict ban on the use of cryptocurrencies for payments and retail trading. This stance was solidified in June 2022 when the NBE declared such activities illegal, citing risks to the financial system and the sovereignty of the Ethiopian Birr. This prohibition was legally reinforced by the National Bank of Ethiopia Proclamation No. 1359/2024, which explicitly forbids the use of crypto for payment transactions, although it simultaneously empowers the NBE to regulate the sector in the future.\n\nConversely, the government has embraced cryptocurrency mining as a strategic economic sector. The Information Network Security Administration (INSA) issued a directive in August 2022 requiring all crypto operations, specifically miners, to register. Since then, the government has licensed over 20 mining companies, predominantly foreign, allowing them to operate legally and access electricity, often requiring payments in foreign currency. This creates a unique \u0027partial ban\u0027 landscape where the production of the asset is state-sanctioned, but its domestic use by citizens is criminalized.\n\nFor retail investors, the situation remains restrictive. There are no licensed exchanges for retail trading, and the banking sector is prohibited from processing crypto-related transactions. The Financial Intelligence Service (FIS) actively monitors for illicit crypto transactions, and officials have warned that \u0027legal measures\u0027 will be taken against violators. Despite this, peer-to-peer (P2P) trading persists in a black market capacity.\n\nLooking forward, the regulatory framework is in transition. The Ethiopian Capital Market Authority (ECMA) has signaled its intent to regulate \u0027virtual assets\u0027 as part of its broader capital markets regime, and the NBE\u0027s 2024 amendment provides the legal basis for future licensing. However, until specific directives are issued to license retail service providers, the status for the average citizen remains one of prohibition, contrasting sharply with the government\u0027s welcoming stance toward industrial miners.",
  "confidence_level": "High",
  "executive_summary": "Retail cryptocurrency trading and payments remain illegal in Ethiopia under the National Bank of Ethiopia\u0027s (NBE) strict prohibition, which mandates the Birr as the sole legal tender. However, the country operates a distinct \u0027partial ban\u0027 regime where cryptocurrency mining is explicitly legal, regulated, and licensed by the Information Network Security Administration (INSA). While the NBE\u0027s 2024 proclamation reinforces the ban on using crypto for transactions, recent legislative amendments grant the central bank future authority to regulate the sector, and the Capital Market Authority is drafting a framework for virtual assets, indicating a potential shift toward broader regulation.",
  "grounding_urls": [
    {
      "resolved_url": "https://www.afriwise.com/blog/cryptomining-in-ethiopia---legal-outlook-2025",
      "title": "afriwise.com",
      "url": "https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQEoz25EBGkJ1eXuc6V8JBKXIxABhZf2vHnI5KRPRHbrMEz57oeadLYRnCKH7eYOaWqBKPDHjw2JIgDX6JDNrfPglITVPmS-zMOSpwKSKaEwNa0gmsjrUaY2vdrh9vuLQvZHdeVg_lP4J21p77JVrQKAH8gGGch6I6WSISRPyXCB0-5-Orw3zg=="
    },
    {
      "resolved_url": "https://www.trade.gov/market-intelligence/ethiopia-energy-intensive-tech-opportunities",
      "title": "trade.gov",
      "url": "https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQFu6y0JWm8YltE1s1nHQFEPO3tgpXCn9xdSKp3B3o4oMzYUuKhTcCZiOX67cYqEIQWR4PCxsfa8nGwwomd4k_VNmvE83XCZ4vjRijYMfRS3Iomos_7kKOxwhump58N8pvTrsMAoQgn5j1YVVYWf5LkPGoZF8wtZK1vi7W-lLfiUYZTLGYu107_OFTpkdK-snZiq"
    },
    {
      "resolved_url": "https://www.trade.gov/market-intelligence/ethiopia-energy-intensive-tech-opportunities",
      "title": "trade.gov",
      "url": "https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQGhh7rgp2ddSM_tep0QH7GWSBEhGqmfzGTCSOOCefAQ7K64Bq-xlalmc3BxjIVT7wvuHAL5zis40vw2gPnoeB0M3GLkwOZplEUslK2ro_IFznan1IQYnNcCTTVbOHRpBAVvNBKUOkZ1VLexLZvHdbHio0TrvIUKsPD3DCSew_o1QwiMYstsI5pYcmgyG9MVfR3u"
    },
    {
      "resolved_url": "https://www.haymanotbelay.com/modernizing-ethiopias-financial-landscape-navigating-the-opening-of-the-banking-sector-to-foreign-investment/",
      "title": "haymanotbelay.com",
      "url": "https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQGcFlhi3SjDaUUQCugOKINebYZclry0zcsqp6xlCZzipfpaxGfFpWHMST4u1SXl91uGZhRtVbcwh12eCbDhDELeYMWphh47XsmAmx0wga4VE6Bj8b_YzXRi0-4SIocHoyRip3AhHef5dgRsmdksEJpWG5qpqJGmdiXXD9va2H6rApr5vnB5BN5ev_CGrpm9OkigwEWBZafUg6kOSVP59Vss97bYSraxgp_0QIK9mPSLZZ8vNwFuBBaID_zDLhBS3TH_cUtkzl0s"
    },
    {
      "resolved_url": "https://fsa.gov.om/Home/ReadMore?id=9560\u0026id=9560",
      "title": "fsa.gov.om",
      "url": "https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQFUY_Xms2XlYr1Kiza_ijFZmHUSmAXPR_R947I3IdE0xCi-aPXza1YoUxHOll4sWwnW15qXod5Wkb05Ym2iuey5LlT25dXnXvs2-gZoDhGvR7fWX52fn5g0uSvWBOnY9rFkVmmmuM8sKRm2Zw=="
    },
    {
      "resolved_url": "https://ethiopianmonitor.com/2024/12/21/newly-revised-law-increases-central-banks-power/",
      "title": "ethiopianmonitor.com",
      "url": "https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQGVFmbEFOg7wMvcJ3uoNl-mdZDv0ItVG2XL2ckSLHF09P5vv_rlejg-WwWkSR_cOThEXLYXEq1dMzoHZ3h8XAp3ZiiMn7_2TSRABAELbVw6On87GDRF-Wmpp3XiOr_rXQmzfmAnydKaSY7aIS8wrbjckK9Er1i4cJ065egyNvUl3HfCfj9NqUscbv6xiD1L8UbW2h8="
    },
    {
      "resolved_url": "https://kflip.info/2022/08/29/cryptography-regulation-in-ethiopia/",
      "title": "kflip.info",
      "url": "https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQGtNaU0GTY1pQl56SQeTZP_oMeMq3xqVbg4KEZOFCB_OjmVVSqogArt0HRBohc0cIznj29lvtWAKCq36VTo5ekoRqG4NR3Bo1BxfM0WWjHsQcX_WIYM8XIBVkZ5XAf5WjMusGBPi6g0HgxgOoQtMpzuznlBFxpdxvwklsCUMw=="
    },
    {
      "resolved_url": "https://kflip.info/2022/08/29/cryptography-regulation-in-ethiopia/",
      "title": "kflip.info",
      "url": "https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQGfcBinyYWLTELeH9PgVWFn0AK88u1nlMMl1u5gwbMiLwIe17w7-arKWIfcFr9U2MBUHOW-zJU-p0xXRXipgyB5snamJ84YiXxJRI-KtyP7WVS6AUtmaUT2S5dNLEef9yZvBuHANy-1pRCHn_LLmEep2eIJcC4p0z080V77aQ=="
    },
    {
      "resolved_url": "https://capitalethiopia.com/2025/03/17/ecma-introduces-new-penalties-to-ensure-compliance-and-investor-protection/",
      "title": "capitalethiopia.com",
      "url": "https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQHhv4X2-FPZFctWfiXz9_lHRDC01Q4Itm8ws8r9KioWz7STgSri5ZmSLolK3oTPzA_dExj_HxzoJAS8PofW3wacdYszyJtySIVuQd8aqZ-B2l49l6aJas7c_mH_tXKzdb_SniSuIiBXBJ_wxXMC1cx9PIjh_2-0SCt1sC6BPHQWlC7R92zXgBZeiX-eXItjgdVGcGkAsqdIh5jtS0F8h5h4EXtJSiyvkAT6aV0UxQ=="
    },
    {
      "resolved_url": "https://www.makkobilli.com/insight/6880098fde2b6055fb80eb32",
      "title": "makkobilli.com",
      "url": "https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQEbu68I5es1R0cxUXbdx2Iz1cWQIEji6x_SlG5-f4Rq0fetREOKOp0OC09oo_WDh5rvmT2OzkH_lHaknk2XF7J3mz6LilqO33sXi_-u183cMBMK-_SmvWmVqAL80ftdEzy1kEFCy5aHbOij4vnqavvZC3e6B1yP"
    },
    {
      "resolved_url": "https://birrmetrics.com/ecma-finalized-legal-framework-allowing-foreign-investors-to-participate-in-ethiopias-capital-market/",
      "title": "birrmetrics.com",
      "url": "https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQH55WpqumZjgwtDQh7CZEqyUUzELjH4BURfxMoabl5k_JY9untIbhGKAH-6SZ4U5UuDfrQdvMyR3gNcbuqXlHbleEYeGK4aYFvRP5Br5rrwcwTLedo1ee8mjskzgGVt0nan-lh1QWVlV7GX2dfY8B4ulSXVsl3uf5HygWXAkAMsmEwnWN32rmmL0ylS1rsDM0t4N0Kn-5DCDVoXcMG_MH_gAz0zvLh8cUo0H8_DVfjQDYEzVLRTLmYe"
    },
    {
      "resolved_url": "https://ethioalliancelaw.com/ethiopia-flips-the-script-from-banning-crypto-to-launching-cbdc/",
      "title": "ethioalliancelaw.com",
      "url": "https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQFH1kxAVIo-M4nb-e0_NrrDqir11WHbqtMpuc3LSv7gL0sk1ZJxoFizU8lCVNU_msfU03fW1ZI7wWKdEbVVHV86PdT5Yh41AmlbpQQE7M38Ls7dhU34QfMC67eATWv7f64YO0XHyf6-CkYo9uHyApT7ZQYaBS_Ow7wm9FFctsn1UhsoHLbqCtJMUyqcwHJwNA0vZ6U1rd_TKw=="
    },
    {
      "resolved_url": "https://cioafrica.co/ethiopia-becomes-2nd-african-country-to-okay-cryptocurrencies/",
      "title": "cioafrica.co",
      "url": "https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQG3zUXonjAtenQZUci5qfMi7TF_jgvnLouC-C1H0f2bbAkGoxgpZ-S576lknwshjTz7r-WaknA_ypwa3AaPdUerJOGYErZV7DaXqCadqw011wZEqAA45hf-_W0wAAAZzsorcoeGcxJRAvUuD92rXIeNOk6kOL1x-iA-JA-F85Rpp6KS18u3QOxpAT79FHqa"
    },
    {
      "resolved_url": "https://cryptonomadhub.io/countries/et",
      "title": "cryptonomadhub.io",
      "url": "https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQF5KIQbyax5qROTdGC_3owRtWj3ccUMfzMDzMtOI0P5MRA1j7heorJ2c1aT9Jk-DhD9ONXLbX3Htz4b5YCtLTgMxZAuJZ_i9llDoxgTPJbgKiv9d2mWZBCPPcd2ZsrXw8rV"
    },
    {
      "resolved_url": "https://www.lbank.com/nl/how-to-buy-news/article/mobilecoin-mob-20",
      "title": "lbank.com",
      "url": "https://vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com/grounding-api-redirect/AUZIYQFb84bfWcYxBN32SPo5arA68lHYGvaRmw29uUOYldJT4sUW1ilTLT2c_BeoqBr5xTeXgbE5rPWTmrk4wjC6BLJQt0MV2nv2xjORpJWhzAbNvC48Em3qX8iE6y6jxYPjhLixgElkUByswUk1tqaWHYa_vQ_TGw254y_MgBLZmQ=="
    }
  ],
  "status": "Gray-Zone",
  "structured_data": {
    "confidence_level": "High",
    "detailed_analysis": "Ethiopia\u0027s regulatory environment for cryptocurrency is characterized by a stark dichotomy between retail prohibitions and industrial acceptance, placing it firmly in the \u0027Gray-Zone\u0027. The National Bank of Ethiopia (NBE) maintains a strict ban on the use of cryptocurrencies for payments and retail trading. This stance was solidified in June 2022 when the NBE declared such activities illegal, citing risks to the financial system and the sovereignty of the Ethiopian Birr. This prohibition was legally reinforced by the National Bank of Ethiopia Proclamation No. 1359/2024, which explicitly forbids the use of crypto for payment transactions, although it simultaneously empowers the NBE to regulate the sector in the future.\n\nConversely, the government has embraced cryptocurrency mining as a strategic economic sector. The Information Network Security Administration (INSA) issued a directive in August 2022 requiring all crypto operations, specifically miners, to register. Since then, the government has licensed over 20 mining companies, predominantly foreign, allowing them to operate legally and access electricity, often requiring payments in foreign currency. This creates a unique \u0027partial ban\u0027 landscape where the production of the asset is state-sanctioned, but its domestic use by citizens is criminalized.\n\nFor retail investors, the situation remains restrictive. There are no licensed exchanges for retail trading, and the banking sector is prohibited from processing crypto-related transactions. The Financial Intelligence Service (FIS) actively monitors for illicit crypto transactions, and officials have warned that \u0027legal measures\u0027 will be taken against violators. Despite this, peer-to-peer (P2P) trading persists in a black market capacity.\n\nLooking forward, the regulatory framework is in transition. The Ethiopian Capital Market Authority (ECMA) has signaled its intent to regulate \u0027virtual assets\u0027 as part of its broader capital markets regime, and the NBE\u0027s 2024 amendment provides the legal basis for future licensing. However, until specific directives are issued to license retail service providers, the status for the average citizen remains one of prohibition, contrasting sharply with the government\u0027s welcoming stance toward industrial miners.",
    "executive_summary": "Retail cryptocurrency trading and payments remain illegal in Ethiopia under the National Bank of Ethiopia\u0027s (NBE) strict prohibition, which mandates the Birr as the sole legal tender. However, the country operates a distinct \u0027partial ban\u0027 regime where cryptocurrency mining is explicitly legal, regulated, and licensed by the Information Network Security Administration (INSA). While the NBE\u0027s 2024 proclamation reinforces the ban on using crypto for transactions, recent legislative amendments grant the central bank future authority to regulate the sector, and the Capital Market Authority is drafting a framework for virtual assets, indicating a potential shift toward broader regulation.",
    "important_considerations": [
      "Retail trading is effectively banned; exchanges are not licensed to offer trading services to the public.",
      "Mining is the only fully legal crypto activity, with over 20 firms licensed and paying for electricity in foreign currency.",
      "Banking access for crypto trading is blocked; banks are instructed not to process crypto-related transactions.",
      "A conflict exists between the \u0027illegal\u0027 status for payments (NBE) and the \u0027regulated\u0027 status for mining (INSA).",
      "The 2024 NBE Proclamation opens the door for future regulation, but no enabling directive for retail trading has been issued yet."
    ],
    "key_regulatory_pillars": [
      "National Bank of Ethiopia (NBE) - Enforces the ban on crypto payments and trading to protect the Birr",
      "Information Network Security Administration (INSA) - Registers and licenses crypto mining entities and \u0027crypto service providers\u0027 (primarily for mining support)",
      "Ethiopian Capital Market Authority (ECMA) - Developing a future regulatory framework for virtual assets and security tokens",
      "Financial Intelligence Service (FIS) - Monitors illicit crypto flows and AML compliance despite the trading ban"
    ],
    "landmark_legislation": [
      {
        "date_enacted": "2024-06-14",
        "identifier": "Proclamation No. 1359/2024",
        "name": "National Bank of Ethiopia Proclamation (Amendment)",
        "summary": "Explicitly prohibits the use of cryptocurrency for payment transactions while granting the NBE authority to issue future directives regulating digital assets. It reinforces the Birr as the sole legal tender.",
        "url": null
      },
      {
        "date_enacted": "2022-08-23",
        "identifier": "INSA Directive No. 002/2022",
        "name": "Directive to Regulate Crypto Asset Operations",
        "summary": "Mandates the registration of all \u0027crypto asset operations\u0027 (mining and transfer services) with INSA. Failure to register can lead to prosecution, effectively legalizing and regulating the mining sector.",
        "url": "https://insa.gov.et"
      },
      {
        "date_enacted": "2022-06-06",
        "identifier": "NBE Press Release",
        "name": "NBE Public Warning on Virtual Currencies",
        "summary": "Declared Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies illegal for transactions, warning that legal measures would be taken against users.",
        "url": "https://nbe.gov.et"
      }
    ],
    "notes_and_comments": "The \u0027Gray-Zone\u0027 classification is used here because of the formal legalization of mining (Partial Ban). If looking strictly at retail trading without the mining context, the status would be \u0027Banned\u0027. The 2024 Proclamation is a critical pivot point, moving the ban from a mere circular to primary legislation while simultaneously creating the legal room for future regulation.",
    "primary_sources": [
      {
        "date": "2022-06-06",
        "key_quote": "Birr is the only legal currency in Ethiopia and all financial transactions shall be effected through it... legal measures will be taken against anyone found to be using cryptocurrencies.",
        "source_type": "regulator",
        "title": "National Bank of Ethiopia Warns of \u0027Illegal\u0027 Crypto Use",
        "url": "https://nbe.gov.et"
      },
      {
        "date": "2022-08-23",
        "key_quote": "Individuals and entities interested in providing crypto services, including mining and transfers, must register with the authority.",
        "source_type": "regulator",
        "title": "INSA Call for Registration of Crypto Operations",
        "url": "https://insa.gov.et"
      },
      {
        "date": "2024-06-14",
        "key_quote": "The use of cryptocurrency for payment transactions is explicitly prohibited.",
        "source_type": "law_text",
        "title": "National Bank of Ethiopia Proclamation No. 1359/2024",
        "url": "https://chilot.me/national-bank-of-ethiopia-proclamation-no-1359-2024/"
      }
    ],
    "remaining_uncertainties": [
      "The specific timeline for the NBE or ECMA to issue directives that might legalize retail trading.",
      "Whether the \u0027transfer\u0027 services registered by INSA could eventually encompass retail exchange operations.",
      "How the 30% capital gains tax mentioned in some reports is enforced on an asset that is technically illegal to trade."
    ],
    "secondary_sources": [
      {
        "date": "2025-06-09",
        "key_quote": "Trading in virtual currencies other than the Ethiopian Birr is not allowed in Ethiopia... but we are offering training to prepare for the possibility of unauthorized trading.",
        "source_type": "news",
        "title": "Ethiopia Prepares to Regulate Crypto, Even as Official Ban Stays Put",
        "url": "https://www.lbank.com/news/ethiopia-prepares-to-regulate-crypto-even-as-official-ban-stays-put"
      },
      {
        "date": "2025-04-30",
        "key_quote": "Under the new National Bank of Ethiopia Proclamation No. 1359/2024, the use of cryptocurrency for payment transactions is explicitly prohibited.",
        "source_type": "analysis",
        "title": "Cryptomining in Ethiopia \u2013 Legal Outlook 2025",
        "url": "https://www.afriwise.com"
      }
    ],
    "status": "Gray-Zone"
  }
}

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